Updated July 19, 2022 at 5:47 PM ET

The Biden administration is trying to decide whether to make a second COVID-19 booster more widely available to protect more people against the latest surge driving up infections and hospitalizations this summer.

Anyone age 50 and older — and anyone 12 and older with a weak immune system — has been eligible for a second booster since March. But most people younger than 50 couldn't get one. That could now change. NPR learned that federal officials are currently debating the move.

Proponents of expanding booster eligibility say the nation urgently needs to boost as many people as possible because of the threat posed by the most contagious version of the coronavirus to emerge yet, known as BA.5.

Skeptics doubt another booster of the same vaccine will provide much added protection to most people. Some also worry another shot could backfire, by training the immune system to only fight the original strain of the virus. There's also concern getting another booster now may interfere with efforts to roll out the next generation of boosters that target omicron in the fall.

For most people younger than 50,the protection they got from their first three shots has been wearing off. In fact, a new study released Tuesday indicates the antibody response fades substantially within three months.

So with infections surging again amid widespread transmission of the BA.5 variant, federal officials have been debating whether to open up eligibility to protect more people through the summer.

"What else can we do to reduce the likelihood of serious illness?" asks Michael Osterholm, a University of Minnesota epidemiologist who has been urging federal officials to loosen booster eligibility. "Boosters are, I think, the obvious answer."

Some other medical experts agree.

"There is as much COVID around now as almost at any time. People are no longer being as careful as they were. We know that immunity wanes over time. We have a variant that is capable of evading immune system. We have good evidence that a second booster lowers the probability of a severe case," says Dr. Robert Wachter at the University of California, San Francisco.

Wachter thinks the government should offer second boosters to all adults.

Others think boosters should just be offered only to those at high risk. "I don't think it would make much sense for a perfectly healthy 25-year-old person to necessarily get a boost now," says Dr. Anthony Fauci, the White House chief medical adviser. "There's a difference between a perfectly healthy 25-year-old person and a 43-year-old with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease."

But other infectious disease experts argue there really isn't good evidence that a second booster would enhance protection much for most otherwise health people. And, they point out, three shots are still protecting most people from getting severely ill and dying.

"The goal of this vaccine is to protect against serious illness. If we're going to try to protect again mild illness for years then we're going to have boost a couple times a year and that doesn't make sense from a public health standpoint," says Dr. Paul Offit, who heads the Vaccine Education Center at Children's Hospital of Philadelphia.

And there is concern that if people get the same shot too many times it could be counter-productive — by kind of training their immune systems to only try to fight off the original strain instead of protecting against new variants. Although this remains a theoretical risk, some say the evidence that it might be real is growing.

"There's this phenomenon of imprinting also known as original antigenic sin where if you continue to give doses of the same vaccine you could in a sense trap the immune system of wanting to respond to the original virus and not adapting as well to future variants," says Dr. Céline Gounder, an infectious disease specialist and a fellow at Kaiser Family Foundation.

A final concern concerns public messaging: Giving people another booster now may confuse things in the fall when the government plans to roll out the next generation of vaccines. Those will likely be bivalent vaccines, meaning that have been updated to target omicron along with the original strain of the virus. The idea is to try to protect people against what could be another bad winter surge.

And if people get boosted now, in mid summer, there may not be enough time in between the shots — since people may have to wait months in between boosters for them to work.

"The spacing between boosters is important," says John Moore, an immunologist at Weill Cornell Medicine. "One reason is that the response to a vaccine dose is impaired when the level of antibody in the blood is too high."

Some also argue the country should focus vaccination outreach efforts on getting more people to get their first shots and first boosters. One-third of adults remain unvaccinated and only half of those who have gotten vaccinated have gotten their first booster.

Copyright 2022 NPR. To see more, visit https://www.npr.org.

Transcript

JUANA SUMMERS, HOST:

How soon can more Americans get a second COVID-19 booster? That is what the Biden administration is trying to decide right now, whether to significantly expand booster shot eligibility this summer to protect more people against the latest omicron surge. NPR health correspondent Rob Stein is here to explain. Rob, this has gotten really confusing for some people, so if you could just remind us - who is already eligible for another booster, and what's being considered by the administration right now?

ROB STEIN, BYLINE: Sure. This is all about second boosters. We're talking about fourth shots. You know, anyone age 50 and older has been eligible for a second booster since March. Same goes for anyone age 12 and older who has a weak immune system. But that means that most people younger than 50 haven't been eligible for another booster, even though the immunity they got from their first three shots has been wearing off. And now the most contagious strain of the virus yet, the omicron subvariant called BA.5, is fueling yet another surge. Here's Michael Osterholm at the University of Minnesota.

MICHAEL OSTERHOLM: When we look at what's happening with this widespread transmission right now, BA.5, it just really, I think, cries out for, what else can we do to reduce the likelihood of serious illness. And boosters are, I think, the obvious answer.

STEIN: So NPR has confirmed that federal officials are debating whether to make second boosters available to all adults to protect them through the summer.

SUMMERS: OK. So tell us about this debate. Who doesn't think that this is a good idea?

STEIN: Well, you know, some people think the extra shots should just be offered to those at high risk for some reason. I talked about this with Dr. Anthony Fauci.

ANTHONY FAUCI: I don't think it would make much sense for a perfectly healthy 25-year-old person to necessarily get a boost now. There's a difference between a perfectly healthy 25-year-old person and a 43-year-old person with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

STEIN: You know, or heart disease or asthma or, you know, pregnant women. But others say all adults should at least have the option. Here's Dr. Robert Wachter at the University of California, San Francisco.

ROBERT WACHTER: People are no longer being as careful as they were. We know that immunity wanes over time. We have a variant that is capable of evading the immune system. We have good evidence that the second booster lowers the probability of severe case. And you put all that together, and it seems to me that it should be offered to people as an option.

STEIN: But others just think there's really no need to open up booster eligibility broadly at this point.

SUMMERS: And, Rob, given how contagious you've said that BA.5, this variant, is, why do they say not to open up booster eligibility broadly?

STEIN: Yeah. So some say there really isn't good evidence that a second booster would really do much for most people. Three shots are still keeping most people from getting really sick or dying. And there is concern that if you keep giving people the same shot over and over again, it could backfire by kind of training their immune system to only try to fight off the original strain of the virus. I talked about this with Dr. Celine Gounder. She's an infectious disease expert at Kaiser Health News.

CELINE GOUNDER: There's this phenomenon of imprinting, also known as original antigenic sin, where if you continue to give doses of the same vaccine, you could, in a sense, trap the immune system in wanting to respond to the original virus and not adapting as well to future variants.

STEIN: But even those who aren't worried about that have another concern that giving people another booster. Now may confuse things for the fall, when the government plans to roll out the next generation of vaccines, you know, vaccines that have been updated to target omicron and try to protect people against what could be another bad winter surge. There also just may not be enough time to do both boosters, since people have to wait months between the boosters for them to work. So you can see it's a tough, complicated call. But the FDA could decide what to do by the end of this week.

SUMMERS: NPR's Rob Stein, thank you.

STEIN: You bet, Juana. Transcript provided by NPR, Copyright NPR.

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