It happened slowly at first. The reservoir's water level dropped, so the resort extended the boat launch ramp.

Then they had to add another extension.

Eventually, the water dropped so much that business dried up — along with the lake.

"For this coming weekend, there's not one reservation. This business was 98 percent dependent on the water. Now that the water's gone, the customers are gone as well," says Francisco Carlos Fonseca, the manager of Marina Confiança.

Francisco Carlos Fonseca is the manager of Marina Confiança, a resort located on the banks of the Cantareira reservoir system. Behind him is a boat ramp that once led to a lake that he says used to be more than 100 feet deep.

Francisco Carlos Fonseca is the manager of Marina Confiança, a resort located on the banks of the Cantareira reservoir system. Behind him is a boat ramp that once led to a lake that he says used to be more than 100 feet deep.

Kainaz Amaria/NPR

The resort is located on what were once the banks of one of Sao Paulo's most important reservoir system, called Cantareira. A drought has been devastating the region for the past two years. Unless there is more rain, some water conservation groups estimate there is only enough water to last about five months.

Walking around the resort, Fonseca says that until a year ago, this place was a weekend getaway paradise, packed with vacationers. Today the hotel, with its attached bungalows and party spaces, is a ghost town.

It's a symbol of the economic cost of the drought here.

Fonseca says four or five other marinas have closed completely because there's no access to water. He's not sure what he'll do if his resort closes.

The only thing that could bring tourists back to this region?

"Rain," he says.

Ninety-eight percent of the lake resort's business relied on water. As recently as last year, it was filled with vacationers from Sao Paulo. On a recent visit, Fonseca said there was not one reservation for the upcoming weekend.

Ninety-eight percent of the lake resort's business relied on water. As recently as last year, it was filled with vacationers from Sao Paulo. On a recent visit, Fonseca said there was not one reservation for the upcoming weekend.

Kainaz Amaria/NPR

This resort was a respite for those living in Sao Paulo. The megacity of 20 million people is as dense with high rises as the Amazon jungle is with trees.

The drought has forced severe water rationing for many of those who live here. Nine million depend on this reservoir system for their daily water use.

The dishes are piled high in the sink when we arrive at Renata Trindade's house in a poor neighborhood in the north part of the city. Since she works during the day, she says she has to be creative about doing chores: She lets dishes and clothes pile up to make sure she and her boyfriend have enough water for other things like bathing or flushing the toilet.

For her and many other Sao Paulo residents, this is the new normal.

And this city is not alone. Brazil's second largest city, Rio de Janeiro, is also facing water troubles, as are other coastal areas. It's been an enormous shock to Brazilians, who are used to their country being called "the Saudi Arabia of Water" — historically, it has had as much water as that Middle Eastern country has oil.

Fonseca sits in his office, where security cameras monitor all corners of the deserted resort. He says last year the resort had 47 employees. Now there are 18.

Fonseca sits in his office, where security cameras monitor all corners of the deserted resort. He says last year the resort had 47 employees. Now there are 18.

Kainaz Amaria/NPR

But not anymore. Satellite data from NASA shows that the drought in much of southeast Brazil — also home to the region's breadbasket — is much worse than originally believed. Some recent studies suggest that the lack of rain on Brazil's coasts may be linked to deforestation in the Amazon.

Alexandre Uezu, an ecologist with Sao Paulo's Ecological Research Institute, explains that trees in the Amazon suck up water through their roots and produce huge "flying rivers" of water vapor that move around the continent and fall as rain.

"Were it not because of flying rivers, airflows, the whole area here would be desert," he says. "So we're dependent on the humidity that comes from Amazon."

Except now, according to some estimates, as much as 40 percent of the forest is destroyed or degraded. And that may mean a profound, longterm shift in rainfall patterns here.

So it may take more than a good rainy season to stop Sao Paulo from drying up.

Some residents of Sao Paulo have decided to leave the city, in search of new places to live with more reliable water supplies.

Some residents of Sao Paulo have decided to leave the city, in search of new places to live with more reliable water supplies.

Kainaz Amaria/NPR

The drought may be exacerbated by other issues, including poor planning. Scientists are trying to determine what is happening and why.

But Uezu can say one thing with certainty: The vast tract of trees in the middle of the continent is crucial to the well-being of people on the coasts, where most Brazilians live.

"Were it not because of the Amazon [forest], we'd have even bigger problems here," he says.

Some people are already deciding to pick up and move their lives completely, in search of more irrigated pastures.

Cesar Farinha Figueredo is what you might call a water refugee. He closed his restaurant in Sao Paulo and moved his family to the city of Jundiai, about two hours away, in the interior of Sao Paulo state.

At his apartment complex, a large pool is full of frolicking sun worshipers. He says moving is the best decision he's made. Back in Sao Paulo, he would spend hours in gridlock, only to get home to find water rationing. It was a struggle to even take a shower.

Here in Jundiai, the city is thriving. Jundiai has water as a result of local government policies that have emphasized conservation and a careful management of their resources. The city's reservoir, full to the brim, is surrounded by thick forest. In a park on its edge, families are playing in the afternoon sun.

Brazil's second largest city, Rio de Janeiro, is also facing water shortages.

Brazil's second largest city, Rio de Janeiro, is also facing water shortages.

Kainaz Amaria/NPR

That has become extremely attractive to many people in water-starved Sao Paulo. One real estate agent in Jundiai says she has been getting up to 70 calls a day from residents looking to relocate because of the water shortages.

I ask Figueredo if he thinks more people will feel compelled to flee Brazil's economic hub.

Those who can afford it will, he says.

"I already left. The last one to go needs to turn off the lights," he quips.

Copyright 2015 NPR. To see more, visit http://www.npr.org/.

Transcript

RACHEL MARTIN, HOST:

There's a water crisis in Brazil. According to some analysts, Sao Paulo, the country's largest city, only has enough water to last about five months. NPR's South America correspondent, Lourdes Garcia-Navarro, and NPR producer Lauren Migaki have been reporting on deforestation in the rain forests of Brazil and the connection between the depleted forests in the Amazon and Brazil's drought. We begin with Lauren at what was once a popular weekend resort on the banks of Sao Paulo's largest reservoir.

LAUREN MIGAKI, BYLINE: It happened slowly at first. The reservoir's water level dropped, so the resort extended the boat launch ramp. Then they had to add another extension. Eventually, the water dropped so much the resort gave up, and business dried up too.

FRANCISCO CARLOS FONSECA: (Speaking Portuguese).

MIGAKI: Manager Francisco Carlos Fonseca looks out at the brown pit that used to be the reservoir.

FONSECA: (Through interpreter) For this coming weekend, there's not one reservation. This business was 98 percent dependent on the water. Now that the water's gone, the customers are gone as well.

MIGAKI: Walking around the resort, he says until a year ago, this place was a weekend getaway paradise packed with vacationers. Today, the resort's a ghost town. It's a symbol of the economic cost of the drought here.

FONSECA: (Through interpreter) There were four or five marinas here that have closed completely because there's no access to water.

MIGAKI: Fonseca says he's not sure what he'll do if the resort closes. When asked what could bring tourists back to this region, he has just one answer.

FONSECA: (Speaking Portuguese).

MIGAKI: "Rain," he says. This resort was a respite for those living in Sao Paulo. The megacity is a concrete jungle, as dense with high-rises as the Amazon is with trees. And the drought has forced severe water rationing here.

RENATA TRINDADE: (Speaking Portuguese).

MIGAKI: The dishes are piled high in the sink when I arrive at Renata Trindade's house in a poor neighborhood in the north part of the city.

TRINDADE: (Through interpreter) Usually, the water is on from 4 a.m. to 1 p.m. And afterwards, there's no water.

MIGAKI: Trindade lives in a one-bedroom apartment with her boyfriend and a lot of pets. Since she works during the day, she has to be creative about doing chores. She says she lets dishes and clothes pile up because they have to make sure they have water for other things, like bathing or flushing the toilet. For her and many other residents of this city, this is the new normal.

LOURDES GARCIA-NAVARRO, BYLINE: I'm Lourdes Garcia-Navarro. That new normal of rationing and drought means that the people who can are moving to places with water, places like the city of Jundiai, which I went to visit.

This scene couldn't be more idyllic. The city of Jundiai's reservoir is right in front of me. And it's surrounded by thick forest. It is full to the brim, and they built a park on its edge. And there are families here playing in the afternoon sun. This is a city that is clearly thriving.

Jundiai is about two hours from the center of Sao Paulo. One real estate agent told me she's been getting up to 70 calls a day from Sao Paulo residents looking to relocate because of water shortages. A new report from NASA shows that the drought in much of southeast Brazil, also home to the region's breadbasket, is much worse than originally believed. Some recent studies suggest that the lack of rain on Brazil's coasts may be linked to deforestation in the Amazon.

ALEXANDRE UEZU: (Speaking Portuguese).

GARCIA-NAVARRO: We met with Alexandre Uezu, an ecologist with the Ecological Research Institute in Sao Paulo. He says trees in the Amazon suck up water through their roots and produce huge flying rivers of water vapor that move around the continent and fall as rain.

UEZU: (Through interpreter) Were it not because of flying rivers and air flows, the whole area here would be desert. So we're dependent on the humidity that comes from the Amazon.

GARCIA-NAVARRO: Except now, according to some estimates, as much as 40 percent of the rain forest is destroyed or degraded. And that may mean a profound, long-term shift in rainfall patterns here. So a good rainy season may not be enough to really stop Sao Paulo from drying up.

UEZU: (Through interpreter) Were it not because of the Amazon, we'd have bigger problems here.

CEASAR FARINHA FIGUEREDO: (Speaking Portuguese).

GARCIA-NAVARRO: Ceasar Farinha Figueredo is what you'd call, I guess, a water refugee. He closed his restaurant in Sao Paulo and moved his family here to this Jundiai apartment complex. It's got a large pool, and it's full of frolicking sun-worshipers on the day we visit. I ask him if he thinks a lot more people will feel compelled to flee Brazil's economic hub. Those that can afford it will, he tells me. And then, he quips.

FIGUEREDO: (Speaking Portuguese).

GARCIA-NAVARRO: I already left. The last one to go needs to turn off the lights. I'm Lourdes Garcia-Navarro.

MIGAKI: And I'm Lauren Migaki, NPR News. Transcript provided by NPR, Copyright NPR.

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